Description

This analysis provides a forecast of KAS prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-03 00:00:00+00:00 0.086903 0.097202 0.107873 0.119727 0.132497 0.145812 0.160718
2024-11-10 00:00:00+00:00 0.067711 0.082492 0.098723 0.117741 0.139282 0.162799 0.190283
2024-11-17 00:00:00+00:00 0.055336 0.073013 0.093479 0.118608 0.148304 0.181961 0.222664
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 0.045416 0.064697 0.088163 0.118222 0.155091 0.198238 0.251925
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 0.040803 0.062039 0.088979 0.124693 0.169799 0.223900 0.292673
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.037215 0.060076 0.090187 0.131325 0.184604 0.249848 0.334276
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.032125 0.055312 0.087090 0.131874 0.191368 0.265737 0.363662
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.026796 0.049454 0.081835 0.128952 0.193165 0.275084 0.384795
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.024635 0.047996 0.082471 0.133849 0.205194 0.297563 0.422779
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.022328 0.045985 0.082051 0.137085 0.214918 0.317125 0.457287
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.020004 0.043630 0.080855 0.139011 0.222743 0.334212 0.488778
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.017707 0.041003 0.078971 0.139709 0.228723 0.348824 0.517158
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.017375 0.041964 0.082990 0.149685 0.248600 0.383257 0.573333
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.015040 0.038963 0.080441 0.149640 0.254221 0.398602 0.604669
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.013374 0.036987 0.079392 0.151795 0.263055 0.418541 0.642584
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.011580 0.034455 0.077149 0.151878 0.268748 0.434166 0.674887
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.011152 0.034737 0.079812 0.159903 0.286477 0.466987 0.731199
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.010758 0.035027 0.082471 0.167972 0.304423 0.500383 0.788749
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.009474 0.033061 0.080801 0.168696 0.311034 0.517580 0.823934
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.007875 0.030014 0.076808 0.165233 0.310964 0.525053 0.845567
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.007439 0.029812 0.078253 0.171103 0.325585 0.554028 0.897731
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.006842 0.029075 0.078568 0.174976 0.337094 0.578600 0.943963
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.006160 0.027967 0.078029 0.177278 0.346100 0.599584 0.985329